Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan St.
Big Ten
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.1#17
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#26
Pace64.3#231
Improvement-0.2#181

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#17
Improvement+1.4#102

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#17
Improvement-1.6#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 29.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 96.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round76.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen41.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.1% n/a n/a
Final Four4.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 266   @ Navy W 64-59 93%     1 - 0 +2.3 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 18, 2014 5   Duke L 71-81 29%     1 - 1 +9.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Nov 21, 2014 136   Loyola Chicago W 87-52 91%     2 - 1 +34.0 -0.5 -0.5
  Nov 24, 2014 163   Santa Clara W 79-52 94%     3 - 1 +24.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 27, 2014 164   Rider W 77-45 90%     4 - 1 +31.9 -0.1 -0.1
  Nov 28, 2014 90   Marquette W 79-68 81%     5 - 1 +16.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 30, 2014 11   Kansas L 56-61 41%     5 - 2 +11.5 +8.3 +8.3
  Dec 03, 2014 10   @ Notre Dame L 78-79 OT 30%     5 - 3 +18.5 +9.8 +9.8
  Dec 06, 2014 325   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-52 99%     6 - 3 +18.7 -7.1 -7.1
  Dec 14, 2014 157   Oakland W 87-61 93%     7 - 3 +23.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Dec 17, 2014 130   Eastern Michigan W 66-46 91%     8 - 3 +19.3 -0.3 -0.3
  Dec 20, 2014 219   Texas Southern L 64-71 OT 96%     8 - 4 -12.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Dec 22, 2014 323   The Citadel W 82-56 99%     9 - 4 +11.8 -7.1 -7.1
  Dec 30, 2014 31   Maryland L 66-68 2OT 71%     9 - 5 0 - 1 +6.3 +4.1 +4.1
  Jan 05, 2015 43   Indiana W 70-50 75%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +26.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Jan 08, 2015 22   @ Iowa W 75-61 43%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +29.9 +7.9 +7.9
  Jan 11, 2015 95   Northwestern W 84-77 OT 88%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +8.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Jan 17, 2015 31   @ Maryland L 59-75 50%     12 - 6 3 - 2 -1.9 +7.0 +7.0
  Jan 21, 2015 76   Penn St. W 66-60 84%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +9.3 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 24, 2015 103   @ Nebraska L 77-79 75%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +4.9 +3.5 +3.5
  Jan 29, 2015 177   @ Rutgers W 71-51 87%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +22.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Feb 01, 2015 64   Michigan W 76-66 OT 82%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +14.5 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 07, 2015 49   Illinois L 54-59 77%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +1.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Feb 10, 2015 95   @ Northwestern W 68-44 74%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +31.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 14, 2015 15   Ohio St. W 59-56 58%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +15.0 +6.0 +6.0
  Feb 17, 2015 64   @ Michigan W 80-67 65%     18 - 8 9 - 4 +23.3 +5.2 +5.2
  Feb 22, 2015 49   @ Illinois W 60-53 58%     19 - 8 10 - 4 +19.1 +6.1 +6.1
  Feb 26, 2015 48   Minnesota L 90-96 OT 77%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +0.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 01, 2015 3   @ Wisconsin L 61-68 18%     19 - 10 10 - 6 +16.9 +12.0 +12.0
  Mar 04, 2015 38   Purdue W 72-66 74%     20 - 10 11 - 6 +13.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Mar 07, 2015 43   @ Indiana W 74-72 56%     21 - 10 12 - 6 +14.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Mar 13, 2015 15   Ohio St. W 76-67 47%     22 - 10 +23.9 +7.4 +7.4
  Mar 14, 2015 31   Maryland W 62-58 61%     23 - 10 +15.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Mar 15, 2015 3   Wisconsin L 69-80 OT 25%     23 - 11 +10.1 +10.5 +10.5
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.0 2.8 26.4 45.8 21.9 3.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.0 0.0 2.8 26.4 45.8 21.9 3.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%